This article was written for Climate Spectator, and is originally published here
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In the past five years, a harmful and
potent new creation has become prevalent in the field of renewable energy.
'Wind Turbine Syndrome' is the name given to a generic list of symptoms
purportedly attributable to low-frequency sound emissions from wind turbines.
These range from common maladies such as headaches, nausea and sleeplessness,
to apocalyptic claims such as the mass death of 400 goats. The 'Waubra
Foundation', and various 'Landscape Guardians' groups serve as the main
proponents of Wind Turbine Syndrome, a concept that has become the masthead of
anti-wind lobbying in Australia.
Several key techniques are utilised by
anti-wind groups to successfully convince communities, politicians
and journalists that their claims are scientifically plausible. That these
claims regularly go unscrutinised is cause for alarm, in both medicine and
science. 'Wind Turbine Syndrome' glides effortlessly into the definition
of 'pseudoscience' - any claim, belief or practice which professes
classification as a science, but quietly shuns the deployment of the
scientific method. Scratching at the surface of the anti-wind movement
uncovers a broad and significant venture aimed at acquiring the authority of
scientific inquiry, despite professing concepts that are starved of rationality, validity or
basic self-awareness.
The Null Hypothesis
The origins of Wind Turbine
Syndrome set an unambiguous precedent for the scientific attitudes of the
anti-wind movement. Nina Pierpont coined the term 'Wind Turbine Syndrome' in
2009, after interviewing twenty-three people on the phone, and listing
anecdotal evidence from fifteen others. Pierpont, paediatrician and wife of
fiercely unreserved anti-wind activist Calvin Luther Martin,
had this to say about
her study:
"I never set out to prove that wind
turbines cause Wind Turbine Syndrome. This was already obvious. Instead, I
chose to study and document the observations made by people who had already
figured it out and proved it on their own."
This research, often put forward as
primary evidence of a causal relationship between wind turbines and health
issues, betrayed a basic scientific principle before it even began. The null
hypothesis, in science, is the assumption that two phenomena are causally
unrelated - the aim of investigation is then to determine the existence of a
relationship between these two variables.
Pierpont's admissions are particularly
important, given the status with which this research is held by anti-wind lobby
groups. This flaw is by no means the only problem with her study, which serves
as a textbook checklist of methodological flaws, explored further here.
This ideological skew is disturbingly
prevalent in a large portion of the documents cited by the proponents of Wind
Turbine Syndrome. To assume the correctness of a hypothesis prior to
investigating it is the undeniable seal of junk science.
Falsifiability
One aspect of scientific investigation
involves 'falsifiability' - the concept that if a hypothesis is false, this can
be shown through investigation. If wind turbines were indeed a health risk to
residents, one would expect a higher incidence of symptoms adjacent to a wind
farm, compared to a control group. In pre-emption of attempts to delineate the
health risks of wind turbines through empirical research, Pierpont claims that
'not all people living close to turbines are susceptible'.
This has since filtered into political discourse around wind farms in
Australia:
"I've often described
that infrasound as being a little like car sickness - there's four
people in a car, one feels sick and the other three feel fine, so I suspect infrasound is
something a little like that."
David Ridgway, Opposition Planning Spokesman, South Australia
David Ridgway, Opposition Planning Spokesman, South Australia
This subtle inclusion has rendered their
proposition immune to epidemiological research. If it is found that
residents adjacent to a wind farm experience headaches, nausea and sleeplessness
at a level no greater than a matched control group that is not near a wind
farm, the Landscape Guardians need simply refer to their original caveat. The
factors required to be susceptible to the effects of infrasound go undescribed
- a refusal to set boundaries for a hypothesis is prevalent among
pseudosciences. This ambiguity ensures that any residents adjacent to wind
turbines that do not report symptoms are simply one of the 'lucky ones not
affected by turbine infrasound'.
Anecdotal Evidence
Perhaps the most prevalent tactic of wind
turbine syndrome proponents is reliance on anecdotal reports. The issues that
exist with anecdotal reports are well-known in the scientific community. Small
sample sizes, cognitive bias, the 'cherry-picking' fallacy - these logical
errors serve as the foundation for the effectiveness of anti-wind lobby
groups.
Giving anecdotal evidence
disproportionate influence can be a double-edged sword. Simon Chapman,
professor of public health at Sydney University, has compiled a list of
symptoms, which currently stands at 200. The sheer size of this list, and the
incredibly variety of maladies contained within it, indicate the likelihood
that the syndrome does not have a consistent physiological cause.
Sarah Laurie, an unregistered ex-general
practitioner, and 'medical director' of the Waubra Foundation, states that Wind
Turbine Syndrome can be perceived 'out to distances as great as 30 km
and sometimes more.' ().
George Papadopoulos, a pharmacist from New South Wales, goes further, stating
that Wind Turbine Syndrome can affect humans up to 100 kilometres away from
wind turbines.
Mapping this 100 kilometre radius, a conservative estimate of the number of
Australians purportedly affected is 6.3 million, including the ACT, Melbourne
and Adelaide.
This serves as a powerful illustration of the problems with self-reported
evidence.
Importantly, questioning the usage of
anecdotal reports as primary evidence is usually portrayed as an
attack on individual honesty, inoculating anti-wind groups against the
weaknesses of this form of evidence. Graham Lloyd, environment editor at The
Australian, states that 'Chapman ridiculed complaints', in a recently
published article.
Chapman's piece in New Scientist literally and directly recounts the claims
made by those adjacent to wind farms.
Misrepresentation
In line with other pseudoscientific
ventures, the anti-wind lobby deploys a static set of quotes that intentionally
misrepresent research, court cases and other documents - sources that
normally posses some form of inherent authority. This technique is
used to imply that there is a large body of scientific research and legal
precedent supporting their hypotheses. An example of this is the following
quote, in a document authored by Sarah Laurie:
"Later in the DEFRA document,
Professor Leventhall lists some of the then known scientific peer reviewed
published evidence relating to the physiological effects of exposure to low
frequency noise."
This study is referenced with astonishing
frequency by anti-wind lobbyists, as can be seen here, here, here, here and
here. Critically,
the physiological effects that Leventhall references 'later in the DEFRA
document' are the
result of exposure to infrasound at very high levels of sound pressure -
usually 125 dB or more (pg 55), compared to the infrasound emitted by wind
farms, which is typically at around 65 dB, at 10 Hz().
This is a difference of around 60 dB.
This is larger than one might expect -
sound pressure level is measured on a logarithmic scale (),
which means 125 dB is about 1,000,000 times the sound intensity (measured in
watts per metres squared) of sound at 65 dB. To put the mind-boggling magnitude
of this error in perspective, this is equivalent to stating that the distance
between the Earth and the Moon is 384 metres.
Laurie's misrepresentation is not insignificant. She continues to use
the reference, as recently as October 28th, in a letter written to Professor
Simon Chapman of Sydney University (), as
does Graham Lloyd of The Australian, in his aforementioned article.
An equally astonishing example of the
intentional slanting of research is a study conducted in 2008 by Todd. et al,
and published in the journal Neuroscience Letters ().
The website 'www.windturbinesyndrome.com'
serves as the online headquarters of the Wind Turbine Syndrome movement, and
quotes the study in the following way ():
“The very low [noise] thresholds we found
are remarkable as they suggest that humans possess a frog- or fish-like sensory
mechanism which appears to exceed the cochlea for detection of substrate-borne
low-frequency vibration and which until now has not been properly
recognised"
The original paper does not include the
word 'noise' - this was added by Pierpont. The original research is in
reference to 'seismic' or 'substrate-borne vibration', which the author of the
paper explains is vastly different to sound:
"We described a sensitivity of the
vestibular system to low-frequency vibration of the head, at about 100Hz, and
not air-conducted sound. At present I do not believe that there is any
direct evidence to show that any of the above acoustico-physiological
mechanisms are activated by the radiations from wind turbines."
Despite this very public rebuke from the
author of the original research, the website continues to display the word
'noise', nestled in the quote. Their deliberate misrepresentation is not
limited to these two examples. The full range of misquotes and embellishments
is vast, and they play a key role in their efforts to manufacture an image of
scientific veracity, in their dealings with communities.
The Burden of Proof
Standard scientific
practice incorporates a principle known as the 'burden of proof'. The
party responsible for making a novel claim is accountable for providing the
evidence for that claim. The more remarkable the claim, the greater the need
for comprehensive and explicit evidence. An example is the hypothetical teapot,
proposed by philosopher Bertrand Russell. This teapot, Russell claims, is
orbiting Earth. We can't produce evidence showing that the teapot isn't there.
Is that enough reason to conclude that there is definitely a teapot orbiting
Earth? Obviously not.
The anti-wind lobby
have successfully managed to absolve themselves of the responsibility
of supporting their claims with evidence. Instead, they insist that the wind
industry is bound to demonstrate that wind turbines do not cause direct
physiological health effects. At a 'Booroowa District Landscape Guardians'
meeting in May 2012 (),
Senator John Madigan demonstrates the use of this logical fallacy:
"You'll quite often hear 'There is
no peer-reviewed literature' or 'There is no peer-reviewed report' or whatever
they want to call it. Of course, if you don't investigate, you're not going to
end up with anything that's peer-reviewed. I've often said that these, that the
proponents of these wind turbines would be tripping over themselves to prove
these people wrong, with the literature, the data, the figures, the recordings,
whatever."
Sarah Laurie sternly re-asserts this
fallacy in her letter to Simon Chapman:
"I would be obliged if you will
direct me to the population studies or even small case control studies, which
have been performed in the vicinity of large operating wind turbines,
confirming that there are no adverse health effects for any of the residents
from these wind turbines, including sleep deprivation, stress related illnesses,
and symptoms of vestibular dysfunction. I believe there are no such
studies."
By shifting the burden of proof from the
claimant (in this case, anti-wind groups) onto the skeptics (the wind
industry), the proponents of Wind Turbine Syndrome further cement their
position as an established and effective pseudoscience.
The presentation of purportedly
scientific claims outside the context of peer-review, publication and
discussion is necessary for any pseudoscience to flourish. The proponents of
Wind Turbine Syndrome focus their efforts on small community meetings,
held with regularity in areas that are facing proposed wind farm developments.
Tense, necessarily emotive and pointedly focused on anecdotal reports of health
effects, these meetings give the anti-wind lobby the opportunity to present
misinformation in the context of an extremely salient emotional backdrop. The
meetings are also designed to ensure opposing voices are not represented, and
are given little-to-no opportunity to critique the claims of anti-wind groups.
Creating Anxiety
Spreading information that a safe
technology is dangerous has the potential to create anxiety that need not be
experienced. The ailments frequently listed by Laurie and the Waubra Foundation
are, for the most part, commonplace. High Blood Pressure affects 21.5% of
Australians. Almost 90% of Australians suffer from a sleep disorder.
If residents living near operational wind farms become convinced that these
common ailments are causally related to nearby technology, there is no doubt
these issues could be exacerbated. Thus, to loudly pronounce a confirmed causal
linkage between wind turbines and adverse health effects, in the absence of
statistically significant, peer-reviewed evidence is at the very least
unethical, and the very worst, horribly reckless.
As with all pseudoscience, rigorous public
debunking is vital. Methodologically sound research into the topic can do no
harm, and may well give communities respite from the health concerns that have
spawned from motivated anti-wind activism. Government institutions, such as the
National Health and Medical Research Council, and the Victorian and NSW
departments of Health, have performed reviews of the current body of evidence,
and announced publicly that there is no evidence wind turbines cause adverse
health effects. It is becoming even more pertinent to arm communities with
knowledge of the techniques utilised by anti-wind activists to construct an
atmosphere of dread around wind technology.
The current mix of generators in the
National Electricity Market is skewed towards technologies that emit
detrimental quantities of carbon emissions - we know that these emissions are
causally related to catastrophic changes to the Earth's environmental systems.
To move away from that is vitally important for the continuance of human
prosperity, and this shift ought to be guided by rational, evidence-driven
decision making.
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